Spanish Double!

Valcencia to beat Almeria and Real Madrid -1 v Seville @ 13/10 (4 points)

Almeria lost 4 in a row. 

Lost 6, drawn 3 this season.

Lost 4/5 away conceding 13

Valencia won 11/16 at home

The five games they dropped points in all against CL sides

Real Madrid won 24/27 at home.

 

20 of those 24 wins covered the -1 handicap

Seville not won in 21 away. losing 13

Real won 8/9 meeting

Real’s last 5 wins all covering the handicap.  

Advertisements

Tuesday’s League 1 & 2 Tips

Notts County DNB v Oldham @ 11/10 (4 points) 

County won 3/4 at home

Oldham lost 5/6 away.

Scunthorpe DNB away to York @ 21/20 (4 points)

Scunthorpe on good form W5 D1 L1, only 2 defeats in 17.

Won 2/3 and 1 defeat in 7 away

York lost 3/4, further back record not much better W2 D3 L9.

At home York have lost 5/7, not scoring in 5 of those.

Saturday 26th October Tips

BTTS Double: Barnsley v Sheff Wed and Huddersfield DNB v Leeds @ 13/5 (4 points)  WON +10.4 

Huddersfield 4 Wins, 3 Draws and 1 defeat at home this season.

Leeds lost 4 in a row away now, only scoring once.

BTTS landed in 11/12 for Sheff Wed this season, including all 7 away.

Landed in 9/11 for Barnsley, including the last 6 in a row at home.

Liverpool v WBA – Under 2.5 goals @  6/4 (4 points) LOST

6/4 too big on Under 2.5 at Anfield.

At home Liverpool unders in 5/6,only overs was against CP.

WBA unders in 7/10.

H2H @ Anfield unders 4/5

Man Utd to beat Stoke 2-0 or 3-0 @6/1 & 7/1 (1 point each) LOST

United only averaging 1.5 goals at home but showed improvements midweek.

Stoke failed to score in 9 of 15 away but not conceded more than 3 in the last 18 away.

United have won this fixtures in 12/18 times to nil.

Southampton v Fulham – Under 2.5 goals @ 11/10 (4 points) WON +4.4

Southampton unders in 14/15 in the Prem.

Fulham unders in 9/12 away.

Derby to beat Birmingham @ 4/5 (4 points) LOST

Derby score for fun, 18 in 7 and have B2B wins under new manager.

Brum lost 5 in a row away now, conceding 13!

Bristol City DNB v Carlisle @ 6/5 (4 points) LOST

Carlisle improving 4 wins in 6,incl B2B wins at home

Bristol City not won in 22 league game, going back to early March!

Have to go back to early Dec for the last away win,record reads L12, D6!

Overall: +0.8 points profit

October 21st Tips

Levante +1 v Celta Vigo @ 5/6 (4 points) WON +3.33

Levante look a good price double chance tonight @ 5/6.

Away to Celta who’ve lost 4/5, only 1 win so far this season.

Scored only 1 in last 4

Levante have only lost to the big2 so far and looked solid(apart from the 7-0 v Barca).

4 draws and 2 wins(both coming away)against the rest.

FC Koln to beat 1860 Munich to nil @ 11/4 (2 points) LOST

Koln won 5/6+only conceding 2 goals.

Unbeaten in 13,keeping 8 clean sheets.1 defeat in 19 at home.

Munich L4 D2 of last 7, failed to score in 6 of those.

Not scored in 4/5 away in Bundesliga 2 and only managed 1 goal in their last 4 v Koln.

Sienna DNB v Palmero @ 4/5 (4 points) LOST

In Serie B on Siena DNB @ 4/5, unbeaten in 7, W4/5 home.

Palmero L2/3 away + only away win in 5 this season was against 2nd bottom Padova.

Overall: -2.67 Loss

20th October Tips

Granada v Getafe – BTTS: No @ 6/5 (4 points) WON +4.8

Backing BTTS-No in the early game in Spain.

Landed in 9/11 for Granada and their last 7 in a row at home.

Also landed in 7/10 away for Getafe

 

Over 2.5 double Hamburg v Stuttgart & Heracles v NEC Nijmegen @ 14/5 (2 points) LOST

All sides games averaging well over the 2.5 threshold :Hamburg 4.5, Stuttgart 3.5, Heracles 3.33 and NEC 4.67!

Overall: +2.8 Profit

Saturday’s Tips

Blackburn to beat Charlton @ evens (4 points) LOST

Blackburn’s form reads 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats

They’ve won 3 out of 4 at home.

Charlton without a win in 6, only 1 win in 11 in the league

Away they have lost 4 and drawn 2, conceding 13 goals

Sheffield Wednesday to win or draw away to Bolton @ evens (4 points) WON +4

Backing Wednesday despite their winless start to the season

They have drawn 6 of the last 8, including 3 of the last 4 away at Leeds, Boro and Brighton

Bolton have also improved, with 3 draws and a win in their last 5

Last time out was still only their first win all season

Draw 3 and lost 2 at home this season.

Nottingham Forest to win and over 2.5 goals in the game @ 11/8 (3 points) LOST

Forest won 7, drawn 4 and lost 1 so far this season.

Won 6 out of 7 at home, with 5 of the last 6 going over 2.5

5 out of 6 gone over 2.5 for Bournemouth.

Away they have lost 4 of the last 6, those games going at an average of 4.2 goals a game.

Yeovil v Brighton, BTTS – No @ evens (4 points) WON +4

Yeovil have failed to score in 4 of their 5 home league games.

10 of their last 13 home games have seen BTTS – No land.

Brighton have failed to score in their last three home games and only netted twice in 6 away.

BTTS – No has landed in their last 4 away games, further back it is 7 out of 9

Colchester to win or draw away to Brentford @ 13/10 (3 points) LOST

Brentford lost 4 out of 6

At home they’ve failed to score in their last 3, only 2 wins in 8 at home

Colchester not won in 9, but only 3 defeats in those games.

Away they’ve Won 1, Drawn 3 and Lost 1 so far this season.

Go further back their away record reads Won 4, Drawn 6 and lost 2.

Bet would have landed in 10 of their last 12 away games.

Overall -2 points loss

Friday night tips!

Nice v Marseille, BTTS – No @ 10/11 (4 points) WON +3.64

BTTS – No, landed in 10/12 for Nice,  11 of those going under 2.5 goals.

It has also landed in 8/12 at home.

Bet would have landed for 11/18 for Marseille.

Away BTTS – No a winner in 14/17!

DOUBLE – Swindon to beat Notts County and Fleetwood DNB v Southend @ 19/10 (3 points) LOST

Swindon won 4/5 at home, 3 of the last 4 anywhere.

Notts County – lost 4/5 away and 7/10 this season.

Fleetwood in form away, winning 5 out of 6, up against Southend

Southend home record dreadful of last 17: Won 2 Drawn 6 Lost 9.

Southend Lost 4/6 at home.

DOUBLE – Hoffenheim v Leverkusen, BTTS  & Reims v Toulouse, Under 2.5 goals @ 5/4 (4 points) WON +5

Hoffenheim seen 8 of their 9 goals this season go over 2.5 and seen BTTS land.

Pattern the same at the end of last season. Their ten games then all saw over 2.5 land too and the last 6 all saw BTTS.

Scored in 9 in a row at home.

BTTS landed in 5/7 for Leverkusen. They have scored in 8/9 away.

Reims last 7 all been under 2.5 goals, an average of only one goals a game.

13 out 16 been unders for Reims.

9 of 12 gone unders for Toulouse.

Overall: +5.64 Points profit

Midweek International Tips

Struggled to find the time to tip regularly of late, but back for this set of midweek internationals and hopefully here forward I will be back to at least weekly tips. I’ve a great record on international games so hopefully can keep that run going.

Serbia to win to nil v Macedonia @ evens (4 points) LOST

Serbia one defeat in 9 at home (to Belgium)

Won their last two games to nil (v Japan and Wales)

Macedonia lost 6 of their last 8 and their last 5 away

Macedonia failed to score in their last 4 away games and 7 of the last 9 away

England to win/over 2.5 goals in the game @5/6 (4 points)  LOST
England only lost 2/30.
Won 5/6 at home, all of the wins going over 2.5, those games averaging 4 goals.
Poland only managed 3 away wins in last 20 (v San Marino, Thailand, Belarus).
Lost 4/7 away, avoiding defeat only v San M, Moldova and S&M).

Greece v Litchenstein under 2.5 goals @15/8 (4 points)  WON + 7.5
10 of Greece’s last 11 have been under 2.5 goals.
Last 6 at home have been unders, seeing only 5 goals scored in total.
Price of 15/8 fair!
10 of Liechtenstein’s last 12 gone under 2.5 goals and 5 out of 6 away.
Meeting earlier in the campaign was 1-0 to Greece.

Spain to beat Georgia 3/4 or 5-0 @5/1, 6/1 and 19/2 LOST
(2 points each)

Georgia failed to score in 7/10, conceded 12 in 5. Spain scored 6+ four times in 8 years. Main fear is them regularity Spain score only 2.

Overall -6.5 point loss

Round up

Hadn’t the time to update the site the last few weeks but have been tweeting tips (@donstipsuk), so here’s a round up. Sound be back to regular tipping here forward…..

 

21/09/13 – Liverpool v Southampton, Under 2.5 goals @ 21/20 ( 4 Points) WON +4.2

                  Newcastle to win to nil v Hull @ 11/5 (4 points) LOST

                  QPR to win to nil v Yeovil @ 2/1 (4 points) WON +8

                   Overall:  +8.2 points profit

 

27/09/13 – Spurs v Chelsea, BTTS – NO @ 6/5 (4 points) LOST

                  Hull v West Ham – under 2.5 goals @ 8/11 (4 points) +2.91

                  Forest v Derby – Over 2.5 goals 11/10 (4 points) LOST

                  Leicester to win and over 2.5 goals in the game @11/10 (4 points) WON +4.4

                  QPR v M’Boro, HT – Draw @ 11/8 (2 points) LOST

                  Overall: -2.69 points loss

Weekend’s Football League Tips

Image

Carlisle v Sheff Utd – BTTS – No @ 11/10 (4 points) WON +4.4

Home side tightened up of late,but failed to score in 4/6.

Sheff U haven’t scored in 3/4

Oxford DNB v Cheltenham @ 10/11 (4 points)  NO BET

Oxford won 4 drawn 2 this season

Winning all 3 away games.

Chelt only win at lowly Accrington

Hartlepool v Accrington BTTS – no @ 11/10 (4 points) LOST

L2’s bottom 2 meet, I wouldnt expect a classic.

Acc’ton lost 6 in a row w/o scoring.

H’pool 1 league goal in 6 games.

BTTS-no @ 11/10, yes please!

Overall: +0.4 points profits